{"id":4166,"date":"2018-01-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-01-10T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/?p=4166"},"modified":"2023-09-25T18:56:50","modified_gmt":"2023-09-25T17:56:50","slug":"pourquoi-les-reductions-dimpots-de-trumps-pourraient-augmenter-les-hypotheques-en-italie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/fr\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/","title":{"rendered":"Pourquoi les r\u00e9ductions d'imp\u00f4ts de Trump pourraient augmenter les pr\u00eats hypoth\u00e9caires en Italie"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Quel est le rapport entre Trump et les hypoth\u00e8ques en Italie ? Il a certainement quelque chose \u00e0 voir avec l'\u00e9conomie mondialis\u00e9e. L'\u00e9conomie\u00a0<a title=\"\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ilsole24ore.com\/art\/mondo\/2017-12-11\/lettera-5-grandi-ue-tesoro-usa-riforma-fiscale-trump-contro- regole-internazionali-165846.shtml?uuid=AEbq3YQD\">r\u00e9forme fiscale<\/a>\u00a0souhait\u00e9e par le 45e pr\u00e9sident des \u00c9tats-Unis - qui offre essentiellement des avantages aux entreprises am\u00e9ricaines qui rapatrient des capitaux - pourrait pousser l'\u00e9conomie de l'Union europ\u00e9enne \u00e0 s'engager sur la voie d'un d\u00e9veloppement durable.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/ arguments.ilsole24ore.com\/bce.html\">Banque centrale europ\u00e9enne<\/a>\u00a0d'augmenter les taux plus t\u00f4t que pr\u00e9vu. Une augmentation des taux aurait in\u00e9vitablement un impact sur les versements des hypoth\u00e8ques \u00e0 taux variable.<\/p>\n<p>Essayons de relier les points allant des \u00c9tats-Unis (Trump) \u00e0 l'Europe (BCE) jusqu'\u00e0 l'Italie (hypoth\u00e8ques). L'effet le plus \u00e9vident d'un rapatriement de capitaux des \u00c9tats-Unis est une augmentation des flux de capitaux vers les \u00c9tats-Unis. Cette augmentation aurait in\u00e9vitablement un impact sur le dollar (qui serait donc pouss\u00e9 \u00e0 la hausse) et sur l'inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis. Si tout se passe comme pr\u00e9vu, la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sera \"forc\u00e9e\" - pour \u00e9viter une surchauffe de l'\u00e9conomie - de relever ses taux plus rapidement que pr\u00e9vu. De plus, la r\u00e9forme fiscale devrait entra\u00eener le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain vers de nouveaux records. Une autre raison pour laquelle la\u00a0<a title=\"\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ilsole24ore.com\/art\/mondo\/2017-12-11\/usa-il-rialzo-tassi-riunione-fed-strattata-cinque- graphic-131108.shtml?uuid=AEQwFMQD\">Jerome Powell, nouveau pr\u00e9sident de la Fed<\/a>\u00a0pourrait adopter une politique encore plus restrictive.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 ce moment-l\u00e0, la BCE ne pouvait pas rester les bras crois\u00e9s. Aujourd'hui d\u00e9j\u00e0, l'\u00e9cart sur le co\u00fbt de l'argent entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et la zone euro est \u00e9gal \u00e0 150 points (tandis que l'\u00e9cart sur les obligations d'\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricano-allemandes est encore plus important et avoisine les 200 points). Si la BCE devait encore repousser la prochaine hausse des taux, la phase de d\u00e9couplage - c'est-\u00e0-dire la divergence des politiques mon\u00e9taires entre les deux zones - serait difficilement soutenable sur les march\u00e9s financiers.<\/p>\n<p>Pour cette s\u00e9rie de raisons - qui trouve toutefois son origine dans l'effet de cascade provoqu\u00e9 par la r\u00e9forme fiscale de Trump - les estimations relatives au calendrier du prochain resserrement de la BCE se sont raccourcies de cinq mois au cours du dernier mois.<\/p>\n<p>Si en d\u00e9cembre une hausse \u00e9tait envisag\u00e9e sur les 20 prochains mois (donc fin 2019), aujourd'hui les contrats \u00e0 terme sur les indices Euribor, mais aussi les \"<a href=\"http:\/\/argomenti.ilsole24ore .com\/morgan.html\">Morgan<\/a>\u00a0Stanley First hike Eurozone\", ils ont r\u00e9duit le d\u00e9lai \u00e0 15 mois.<\/p>\n<p>La prochaine augmentation pourrait donc intervenir au printemps 2019. Cela signifie que les hypoth\u00e8ques \u00e0 taux variable pourraient repartir \u00e0 la hausse pour la premi\u00e8re fois apr\u00e8s dix ans de pression \u00e0 la baisse. Une augmentation de 10 points de base est actuellement estim\u00e9e. Bien s\u00fbr, ce n'est pas beaucoup : environ 5 euros par mois pour une hypoth\u00e8que de 100 000 euros sur 20 ans (le calcul est n\u00e9cessairement forfaitaire car il d\u00e9pend beaucoup de la dur\u00e9e r\u00e9siduelle de l'hypoth\u00e8que). Jusqu'en 2022, les contrats \u00e0 terme Euribor tablent actuellement sur une augmentation globale de 100 points de base. Un \u00e9l\u00e9ment suppl\u00e9mentaire pour l'\u00e9valuation de ceux qui choisissent aujourd'hui quelle hypoth\u00e8que contracter ou remplacer.<\/p>\n<p>Mais il pourrait aussi y avoir un \"effet Trump\" sur les pr\u00eats hypoth\u00e9caires \u00e0 taux fixe. Ceux-ci ne sont pas li\u00e9s \u00e0 l'Euribor mais \u00e0 l'Eurirs. Ces indices r\u00e9sument les anticipations sur l'\u00e9volution du co\u00fbt de l'argent \u00e0 moyen et long terme. Ces derni\u00e8res semaines, ils ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 augment\u00e9 (contrairement \u00e0 l'Euribor qui n'augmentera en fait que lorsque la BCE rel\u00e8vera ses taux), anticipant la cha\u00eene d'\u00e9v\u00e9nements qui pourrait d\u00e9clencher la r\u00e9forme fiscale am\u00e9ricaine en Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Article de \"Il Sole 24 ore\" (en anglais)<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What does Trump have to do with mortgages in Italy? It certainly has something to do with the globalized economy. The\u00a0tax reform\u00a0so desired by the 45th president of the USA &#8211; which essentially offers benefits to US companies that repatriate capital &#8211; could push the\u00a0European Central Bank\u00a0to raise rates earlier than expected. An increase in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Trump&#039;s tax cuts could increase mortgages in Italy - WellTax<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/fr\/pourquoi-les-reductions-dimpots-de-trumps-pourraient-augmenter-les-hypotheques-en-italie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Trump&#039;s tax cuts could increase mortgages in Italy - WellTax\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What does Trump have to do with mortgages in Italy? It certainly has something to do with the globalized economy. The\u00a0tax reform\u00a0so desired by the 45th president of the USA &#8211; which essentially offers benefits to US companies that repatriate capital &#8211; could push the\u00a0European Central Bank\u00a0to raise rates earlier than expected. An increase in [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/fr\/pourquoi-les-reductions-dimpots-de-trumps-pourraient-augmenter-les-hypotheques-en-italie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WellTax\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/welltaxlimited\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-01-10T00:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-09-25T17:56:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/preview.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marcello Silvestri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marcello Silvestri\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Marcello Silvestri\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/bd034ad4413d54a60f75e4aad6ff212b\"},\"headline\":\"Why Trump&#8217;s tax cuts could increase mortgages in Italy\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-01-10T00:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-09-25T17:56:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":533,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"General News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/well-tax.com\\\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\\\/\",\"name\":\"Why Trump's tax cuts could increase mortgages in Italy - 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An increase in [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/fr\/pourquoi-les-reductions-dimpots-de-trumps-pourraient-augmenter-les-hypotheques-en-italie\/","og_site_name":"WellTax","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/welltaxlimited\/","article_published_time":"2018-01-10T00:00:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-09-25T17:56:50+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":675,"url":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/preview.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Marcello Silvestri","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Marcello Silvestri","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/"},"author":{"name":"Marcello Silvestri","@id":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/#\/schema\/person\/bd034ad4413d54a60f75e4aad6ff212b"},"headline":"Why Trump&#8217;s tax cuts could increase mortgages in Italy","datePublished":"2018-01-10T00:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-09-25T17:56:50+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/"},"wordCount":533,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/#organization"},"articleSection":["General News"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/well-tax.com\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/","url":"https:\/\/well-tax.com\/why-trumps-tax-cuts-could-increase-mortgages-in-italy\/","name":"Pourquoi les r\u00e9ductions d'imp\u00f4ts de Trump pourraient augmenter les hypoth\u00e8ques en Italie - 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